Twin Cities Democrats think the state's most controversial issue–the amendment to the state's constitution defining marriage as between one man and one woman–will fall flat on Tuesday, making Minnesota the first state to vote down such an amendment.
In our survey of DFL influencers–local politicians and party activists–the Democrats also believe having the amendment issue on the ballot will be a boost for President Barack Obama, as he looks to defeat former Gov. Mitt Romney in Tuesday's presidential election.
Of the 100 influencers who volunteered to take our survey, 24 responded to our "flash" poll, issued last Friday.
Only a quarter of the responders thought the marriage amendment question would help Romney with turnout. The same number thought the amendment would have no impact at all.
One DFL responder said the marriage amendment and the so-called Voter I.D. amendment, which would require Minnesotans to provide photo ID at the polls, were placed on the ballot by the GOP-controlled Minnesota Legislature simply to "divide the voters and distract them from the real issues this election."
Naturally, all of those in the "Blue Twin Cities" poll thought Barack Obama, who leads in major polls issued throughout the state, would come away with a win in Minnesota Tuesday night. The majority felt he would win by a "wide margin."
"The Obama ground game was better," one pundit said, in the sense that the DFL Party is in better position organizationally and monetarily than the Republican Party this year."
To sum up, one pundit added, "I'll be relived when it's over."
The Blue Twin Cities Survey
Our surveys are not a scientific, random sample of any larger population, but rather an effort to listen to a group of influential local Democratic activists, party leaders, candidates and elected officials in Minnesota. All of these individuals have agreed to participate in Minnesota Patch’s surveys, although not all responded to this story’s questions. Surveys were conducted from July 20 to 26, 2012.
Patch will be conducting Red Twin Cities and Blue Twin Cities surveys throughout the 2012 election season in hopes of determining the true sentiment of conservatives and progressives on the ground in Minnesota. If you are an activist, party leader or elected official and would like to take part in periodic surveys that last just a few minutes, please contact Associate Regional Editor Mike Schoemer at email@example.com.
Blue Twin Cities Roster: Apple Valley/Rosemount–Greg Clausen (candidate SD 57), Jeff Wilfahrt (candidate HD 57B), Dave Mindeman (DFL party), Roxanne Mindeman (DFL delegate to DNC), Marcee Kain (SD 57 chair); Plymouth–Rep. Ryan Winkler (HD 46A), Audrey Britton (HD 44A), John Benson (HD 44B), Sen. Ann Rest (SD 45), Rep. Lyndon Carlson (HD 45A); Shakopee–Chuck Berg (55A candidate), Sue Moravec (Chair, US House District 2 DFL), Josh Ondich(SD 55 candidate), Joan Lynch, Sandy Sandoval; Lakeville–Matt Little (candidate for mayor), Colin Lee (HD 58A candidate), Colin Lee (District 58 DFL chair), Andrew Brobston (SD 58 candidate), Coleen Rowley (former US House candidate); Fridley/SW Minneapolis–Sen. Scott Dibble (SD 60), Sean Broom (US District 5), Jeremy Powers (DFL MN director); Fridley–Avonna Starck (SD 41), Julie Blaha (Anoka-Hennepin Education MN), Bill Haney (SD 41 campaign chair), Rachel Nelson (SD 41 DFL chair), Brian Strub, Sen Barb Goodwin (SD 41), Aaron Klemz (Left.mn); Hopkins–Jimmy Longoria; Sen. Ron Latz, Fartun Weil, Cheryl Youakim (city council), Tim Bergleland, Bruce Rowan (former council member); Eagan–Mike Maguire (mayor), Sen. Jim Carlson, Rep. Sandy Massin, John Wells (chair, DFL SD 51), Laurie Halverson (candidate HD 51B); Woodbury–Susan Kent (candidate SD 53), Alberder Gillespie (SD 53 chair), JoAnn Ward (HD 53A candidate), Ann Marie Metzger (HD 53B candidate), Kathy Saltzman (former Senator); Edina–Tom LaForce(creator, Politics in Edina), Ron Erhardt (former GOP House member), Kevin Staunton (Edina planning commission), Laura Davis (SD 49 secretary), Melisa Franzen (candidate SD 49); Minnetonka–Sen Teri Bonoff; Yvonne Selcer (HD 48A candidate), Laure McKendry (SD 48 candidate), Geneva MacMillan (League of Women Voters), Peggy Kvam (former council candidate); St. Michael–Jim Graves (US House Dist. 6 candidate), Susan Rego (Wright County DFL), Nancy Schumacher (Member, DNC), Gave Davis (Delegate to Democratic National Convention), Mike Verhulst; Oakdale–Sen. Chuck Wiger, Ted Bearth (candidate, Washington County Commission); Rep. Nora Slawik; Northfield–Andrew Brobston (SD 58 candidate), Jim Arlt (HD 58B candidate), Jane McWilliams (League of Women Voters), Patrick Ganey (Northfield City Council), Kevin Dahle (SD 20B candidate), Cliff Martin (18-year-old DNC delegate); Maple Grove–Kyle Tonn (SD 34 chair), Sharon Behanksy (SD 34 candidate); Mendota Heights–Rep. Rick Hansen, Sen. Jim Metzen, Alina Fox (SD 39 delegate), Tom Marver; Richfield–Rep. Linda Slocum, Edwina Garcia (city council candidate), Brie Shultz, Philip Lowe Jr. (Richfield Human Rights), Dan Haugen (president Adler Grad School); Inver Grove Heights–Kathleen Gaylord (Dakota Co. Commission), Rep. Joe Atkins; St. Louis Park–Minke Hindin, Rep. Steve Simon, Betsy Baker (SD 46 chair), Tom Ross (SD 46 assoc. chair); Stillwater–US Rep. Betty McCollum (US District 4), Julie Bunn (SD 39 candidate), John Bruno (SD 39); Golden Valley–Mike Freiberg (HD 45B candidate), Sen. Ron Latz, Betty Folliard (former state rep.), former Sen. Linda Higgins (now Henn. Co. candidate).